Journal: medRxiv
Article Title: Mucosal IgA to pre-fusion F protein predicts protection from RSV infection in a high burden setting
doi: 10.64898/2026.03.16.26348479
Figure Lengend Snippet: A. Model performance comparison across single biomarker models and the dual biomarker model, defined by out-of-sample predictive accuracy (LOO-ELPD, x-axis) and discrimination ability (area under the ROC curve, AUC, y-axis). Circles indicate serum IgG models, squares represent mucosal IgA models, and the triangle denotes the dual biomarker model combining serum IgG and mucosal IgA to RSV-A PreF. The best-performing model within each biomarker class is highlighted with darker shading. Error bars show the standard error of LOO-ELPD (horizontal) and 95% confidence intervals for AUC (vertical). The dashed horizontal line indicates an AUC of 0.7. B. Summary of Pearson correlation coefficients for RSV-A protein antigens, comparing serum IgG (blue) and mucosal IgA (red) binding titres with neutralisation IC50 values. C. Counterfactual analysis comparing the increase in protection from boosting pre-infection antibody titres by 4-fold or 8-fold using either a single mucosal IgA biomarker model (purple) or a dual biomarker model combining mucosal IgA and serum IgG (blue). D. Two-dimensional protection surface for the dual biomarker model using serum IgG and mucosal IgA antibodies to RSV-A PreF. The continuous surface represents the predicted probability of protection given exposure as a function of both serum (x-axis) and mucosal (y-axis) antibody titres. Black contour lines delineate regions of constant protection probability at 50%, 70%, 80%, and 90%. Individual data points overlay the surface, with filled circles representing participants who were protected despite exposure and open circles representing those who became infected. Antibody titres are displayed on a log10 scale. E. Pearson correlation coefficients between RSV-A variant biomarkers at the time of infection. Color intensity represents correlation strength, ranging from blue (weak correlation) through white (no correlation) to green (strong positive correlation).
Article Snippet: RSV antigens (RSV-A Pre-Fusion (ProteoGenix, product code: PX-P6126), RSV-B Pre-Fusion (SinoBiological, product code: 40832-V08B), RSV-A Post-Fusion (SinoBiological, product code: 11049-V08B), RSV-B Post-Fusion (SinoBiological, product code: 40999-V08H), RSV-A G protein (SinoBiological, product code: 11070-V08H2), RSV-B G protein (SinoBiological, product code: 13029-V08H, RSV-A Nucleoprotein (SinoBiological, product code: 40821-V08E and RSV-B Nucleoprotein (SinoBiological, product code: 40822-V08F)), were coupled to distinct bead regions.
Techniques: Comparison, Biomarker Discovery, Binding Assay, Infection, Variant Assay